Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
81 Vermont 0.1%   26 - 7 15 - 1 26 - 7 15 - 1 +6.8      +3.4 81 +3.4 81 61.0 339 +7.4 73 +10.8 1
145 Albany 0.0%   21 - 10 10 - 6 21 - 10 10 - 6 +1.1      +0.6 145 +0.6 145 65.5 265 +1.0 155 -1.3 4
182 Maryland Baltimore Co. 97.1%   15   21 - 10 12 - 4 21 - 10 12 - 4 -1.1      -0.6 182 -0.6 182 69.3 173 +2.4 130 +3.0 2
218 Hartford 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 5 18 - 13 11 - 5 -3.3      -1.6 218 -1.6 218 66.2 245 -1.9 197 +1.3 3
222 Stony Brook 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 9 12 - 19 7 - 9 -3.6      -1.8 222 -1.8 222 69.7 164 -4.4 241 -5.7 5
277 New Hampshire 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 10 8 - 21 6 - 10 -6.8      -3.4 277 -3.4 277 63.7 313 -9.7 309 -7.0 7
283 Umass Lowell 0.0%   11 - 18 6 - 10 11 - 18 6 - 10 -7.2      -3.6 283 -3.6 283 76.2 36 -7.7 284 -6.9 6
303 Binghamton 2.9%   9 - 20 2 - 14 9 - 20 2 - 14 -8.4      -4.2 303 -4.2 303 65.3 273 -9.7 311 -15.7 9
332 Maine 0.0%   4 - 26 3 - 13 4 - 26 3 - 13 -12.0      -6.0 332 -6.0 332 75.2 48 -13.7 334 -12.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.0 100.0
Albany 4.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.0 100.0
Hartford 3.0 100.0
Stony Brook 5.0 100.0
New Hampshire 6.0 100.0
Umass Lowell 6.0 100.0
Binghamton 9.0 100.0
Maine 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 15 - 1 100.0
Albany 10 - 6 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 12 - 4 100.0
Hartford 11 - 5 100.0
Stony Brook 7 - 9 100.0
New Hampshire 6 - 10 100.0
Umass Lowell 6 - 10 100.0
Binghamton 2 - 14 100.0
Maine 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 100.0% 100.0
Albany
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Hartford
Stony Brook
New Hampshire
Umass Lowell
Binghamton
Maine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1 99.9 0.1%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 97.1% 97.1% 0.0% 15   0.0 4.9 59.8 32.4 2.9 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 2.9 97.1 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 97.1% 0.9% 96.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 2.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 98.1% 1.0 1.9 98.1 0.0
2nd Round 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0